The Sixth Sense

Clinton to concede tonight?

Those of you who have been reading The Sixth Sense for a while will be aware of my interest in the US Democratic nominations. It has been fascinating to see this battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama unfold. I am really hoping things will come to an end tonight as the last two states have their say.

From an outside to the US looking in, it feels like the superdelegates are at fault for allowing this to drag on as long as it has. It seems like they have endlessly been waiting for Hillary to make a graceful exit on her own terms. But that was never very likely. She’s a fighter who - in my mind at least - seems to be more about herself than the Democratic party.

If the superdelegates had shown some conviction the Democrats could be in a lot better position than they currently are. As the process has drawn on and on, the divisions between the two camps have got wider and wider. It seems like there is a lot of anger and bitterness. There is a lot more work to be done to bring the party together than there would have been if the superdelegates had acted with conviction earlier in the process.

Having said that, I do think the ‘we’re going to vote for McCain’ line that people from both camps are saying if their candidate doesn’t win is not going to be a major issue when the dust settles and the nomination is finalised. It’s an emotional response and not a realistic one.

If someone suddenly switches from Clinton to McCain is just shows that it is nothing to do with politics. Obama and Clinton are really very close on most issues. So, as things settle down, I think the two camps will predominantly come together. They’ll always be a few crazy people though! (Especially in America!)

So, I’m hoping tonight that this nomination is settled, Clinton concedes, and then she works her butt off to bring her supporters behind Obama. And then the real fun and games can go to stage two ahead of the November general election.

What do you think?

Tags: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Politics, US Elections

Presidential math(s)

Despite the fact that my voice has such global influence, I am not in the business of endorsing US Presidential candidates. (Sorry Hillary, Barack, John.)

That said, those of you who follow The Sixth Sense will no doubt have detected a definite slant towards Obama in the fight for the Democratic nomination.

The last few days have uncovered another reason why I have this slant: Hillary is terrible at math(s).

For some bizarre reason she thinks she has a larger share of the popular vote than Obama. (Details here). Sadly - for her - no one else agrees. Or, to put it another way, everyone else knows how to actually add up.

This is SERIOUS manipulation of numbers that seems to be either absolute desperation or downright dirty. Or possibly a combination of both.

Whatever the case, these are not the kind of qualities I’d be looking for in a potential President of the United States of America.

What about you?

UPDATE:

• There’s a good, semi-related piece by Michael Tomasky in today’s Guardian. Check it out.
• Also, Clinton is getting into more and more debt. $31 million to be precise. Details here.

Tags: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Politics, US Elections

A new kind of model

Following on from yesterday’s post about a new kind of leadership, in the same article I referred to, there was another fascinating comment by Peter Leyden of the New Politics Institute. Here’s what he had to say:

“What’s amazing is that Hillary (Clinton) built the best campaign that has ever been done in Democratic politics on the old model—she raised more money than anyone before her, she locked down all the party stalwarts, she assembled an all-star team of consultants, and she really mastered this top-down, command-and-control type of outfit. And yet, she’s getting beaten by this political start-up (Barack Obama campaign) that is essentially a totally different model of the new politics.” (Emphasis mine)

My interest in sharing this is not as a political statement. I do think though that there are parallels for those of us who are involved in organisations, businesses, churches, etc. One of the biggest challenges is making sure we don’t become slaves to any one model. Because the world around us is constantly changing we too need to have models that are flexible enough to adapt.

Something we all need to think about is whether we see the world around us through the models we use or whether we see the world around us and then choose models to serve the world as it is.

As well as this, another thing we can draw out from the differences between the Clinton and Obama campaigns is that Clinton was institution based whereas Obama was people based. And the reality is that people’s trust of institution is in rapid decline (particularly amongst the younger generations).

Whatever our organisation, do we want it to be an institutional hierarchy or a people based movement?

What do you think?

If you haven’t already, please reply to the ‘Who Are You?’ post. Thanks!

Tags: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Leadership, Models, Politics

Hillary wins but it is irrelevant

All week the US news sites were saying that Hillary Clinton was out of the Democrat nominee race.

Not only that, they were saying this whilst at the same time acknowledging that she will win BIG in West Virginia.

And then, when she does win big (like they said she would), the news sites are suddenly asking whether this now changes things.

This was always going to be a win for Clinton. We knew all week she would win big. Everyone said all week that her winning big was pretty much irrelevant. And then, when the big win happens, suddenly it’s relevant?!

Oh come on! Stop playing games. Anyone with half a brain knows this is all over. Stop selling news and start reporting.

Here’s the reality as I see it. Obama has:

• More popular vote
• More states won
• More pledged delegates
• More super delegates

In light of that, with 5 states left to vote, how is anything going to change? Are the super delegates really going to go against Obama now? Of course not. Why? Because, at this stage, to hand Clinton the nomination is to hand the Republicans the White House come November.

All that to say last night made NO difference to the nomination so stop trying to pretend otherwise news you US news agencies!

What do you think?

Don’t forget to reply to the ‘Who Are You?’ post. Thanks!

Tags: Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Politics, US Elections